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Bill Belichick math

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Sportswriters get to be the ultimate Monday morning quarterbacks. If Bill Belichick makes his first down and beats the Colts last night, he’s a ballsy genius. He didn’t so he’s an arrogant fool.

In reality, it’s just a risk management math problem and results shouldn’t matter just whether he made the right decision.

Belichick simply had to compare the odds of his team getting a first down to the odds of his team stopping Peyton Manning after a punt. If the odds of getting a first down are higher, then he made the right decision. Normally, I’d punt, but given the course of the game, it’s obvious that you’d rather rely on your offense there than your defense.

I saw some stats that said that the Pats were about 65-70% to convert. To me it seems like a toss up. So in a toss up why not go with the side of the ball you feel more comfortable on?

Nevertheless, the world only cares about results. Even if Belichick could provide detailed analysis proving that the odds were better to go for it on 4th and 2. It didn’t work and to 99% of the world that’s all that matters.

It’s like blaming Warren Buffet for not foreseeing the 9-11 attacks effects on the stock market – it’s completely unfair, but people love to complain.

Roger Ebert has slowed down

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Actually, he’s doing quite well keeping up given what he’s been through, but I couldn’t help but chuckle at his review of Pirate Radio.

In praising the inspiration for the movie, Ebert notes that there is still a Radio Caroline on the web. In trying to make the point that they play great music, he intersperses the names of the classic songs that they are playing into his review.

Instead, I just got the impression that Roger doesn’t write so fast anymore. Had all of these songs played it would have taken him at least a half hour to write this very short review. Can you write during all of Freebird and only get through about 15 words?

I probably should have kept this whole thing to myself, because I’m likely the only person in the world amused by this.

Keep it up Roger – I still read you and unlike the reviewer from Rolling Stone you did notice that there weren’t any Beatles songs played in the movie.

God January Jones is hot

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I have no idea why she decided to take a part in Pirate Radio that involved maybe 4 minutes of screen time, but thank God that she did. Any movie where they want to add four minutes of January Jones in a negligee officially gets my thumbs up from now on.

Carrie Prejean has been Palinized

If we have to have one – I think that we should make Carrie Prejean the new Ann Coulter – basically because she has a masturbation video. There are actually probably Ann Coulter masturbation videos out there, but I don’t think that I really want to see them. I have the feeling that Ann gets down in like a leather Nazi Gestapo outfit and I don’t think that would do it for me.

I’m very excited that Carrie has been Palinized – I picture getting Palinized as like a nude sword ritual with all the hot Palinized Soccer Moms on their knees being dubbed Jr. Palins by Sarah and then sending video of the whole thing to David Letterman just to make him crazy.

That’s not misogynist is it?

(I saw this true story TV movie called Bitter Blood where Harry Hamlin and Kelly McGillis were cousins who got married with a naked sword ritual and I’ve been obsessed with the concept every since. Beware before you watch – at the end Harry, Kelly and all the innocent kids are detonated by a bomb in Harry’s truck.)

The Republicans are genius. First they need to replace Thurgood Marshall and manage to find the one Republican Judge in America who is African-American and likes tacky porn. Then they battle Nancy Pelosi and Hilary Clinton with hot brain dead chicks.

“Larry, you are being very inappropriate.” That has to be the first time those words have been uttered by someone with a masturbation video!

Palin-Prejean in 2012!

Joe Halderman and his lawyer are scumbags

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The argument that the man who extorted David Letterman was just trying to pitch a legitimate proposal to David Letterman is so patenty absurd and completely corrupt that it makes you want to reverse the Gideon decision. It’s bad enough that Halderman’s lawyer is throwing this putrid strategy at Letterman to see what sticks, but threatening that he and his client have more dirt to toss Dave’s way pretty much is an admission of guilt. Then again it’s a lawyer – just another day on the job.